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Unexpectedly strong durable goods orders and trade data temper recession concerns

Unexpectedly strong durable goods orders and trade data temper recession concerns

Durable goods orders and goods trade deficit in June beat expectations, according to data released Wednesday, tempering recession concerns.
FOMC policy decision preview: Fed to hike lending rate .75% next week

FOMC policy decision preview: Fed to hike lending rate .75% next week

A 100-basis-point increase in the federal funds rate will be on the table during the Federal Open Market Committee meeting next week, but we expect the central bank will hike the policy rate by 75 basis points.
Wholesale gas futures point to drop below $4 a gallon

Wholesale gas futures point to drop below $4 a gallon

Wholesale gasoline futures imply that the average price per gallon of gas, which stands at $4.44, will most likely fall below $4 per gallon by the end of the summer.
Initial jobless claims rise to eight-month high

Initial jobless claims rise to eight-month high

New filings for jobless benefits rose more than expected last week to an eight-month high of 251,000, continuing to show signs of increases in layoffs amid an economic slowdown.
U.S. housing supply continues to fall amid rising mortgage rates

U.S. housing supply continues to fall amid rising mortgage rates

There were 1.56 million new housing starts in June on an annualized basis, a 2.0% decline from May and the lowest level since last September.
U.S. June CPI: Persistent top-line inflation hits 9.1%

U.S. June CPI: Persistent top-line inflation hits 9.1%

The top-line consumer price index hit 9.1% in June on the back of a 11.2% increase in gasoline prices and a 7.5% jump in overall energy prices.
U.S. employment report for June indicates no recession now

U.S. employment report for June indicates no recession now

An American economy in free fall does not tend to produce 372,000 jobs in any given month, as the June employment report showed on Friday. The data released by...
Chart of the day: Service sector grows at slowest pace in two years

Chart of the day: Service sector grows at slowest pace in two years

The ISM service index inched down to 55.3 in June, the slowest level of growth in more than two years since May 2020, when it was at 45.2.
Job openings show signs of a slowdown

Job openings show signs of a slowdown

Job openings declined for the second straight month in May as the Federal Reserve's rate hikes slowed down overall demand.
U.S. June jobs preview: Slower hiring in rate-sensitive industries

U.S. June jobs preview: Slower hiring in rate-sensitive industries

We expect the June U.S. employment report to show a total gain of 225,000 jobs, with risk of a stronger pace of hiring and an increase in the unemployment rate to 3.7%.
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows a slowing industrial sector

RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows a slowing industrial sector

Three of the Federal Reserve’s regional manufacturing surveys are now reporting outright contractions and the other two are falling quickly toward contraction.
Preparing for a tsunami of imported goods

Preparing for a tsunami of imported goods

The recent reopening of China’s factory floors and the easing of its supply chain bottlenecks have prompted discussion about the ability of the U.S.
New home sales rise unexpectedly despite higher mortgage rates

New home sales rise unexpectedly despite higher mortgage rates

The increase was driven by more supply coming online, pushing prices down for the first time since February.
How lumber tells the story of home building during the pandemic

How lumber tells the story of home building during the pandemic

Large home builders operate with scale advantages, which have allowed them to endure wild swings in costs of inputs like lumber. It's a different story for…
Fed announces largest rate hike in nearly three decades as it seeks to restore price stability

Fed announces largest rate hike in nearly three decades as it seeks to restore price stability

The Federal Reserve lifted its federal funds policy rate to a range between 1.5% and 1.75% on Wednesday as it moves to restore price stability over the medium term.
Inflation and gross margins—who is winning? Part 1: The transportation sector

Inflation and gross margins—who is winning? Part 1: The transportation sector

RSM took a detailed look at gross margins across different peer groups in the industrials sector to see how each has fared during this time of high inflation.