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Initial jobless claims and housing starts post upside surprises

Initial jobless claims and housing starts post upside surprises

Filings for jobless benefits fell last week to the lowest level in 16 months, a testament for how resilient the labor market continues to be.
Rate normalization and the return of risk

Rate normalization and the return of risk

Conditions are ripe for the yield curve to continue to normalize as the long end moves to a range between 4% and 4.25%.
U.S. income and spending see strong gains as year nears an end

U.S. income and spending see strong gains as year nears an end

November had a 0.4% increase in nominal income and spending, while inflation-adjusted spending advanced at a 0.3% pace, according to Commerce Department data on Friday.
U.S. November Consumer Price Index: Inflation continues to abate

U.S. November Consumer Price Index: Inflation continues to abate

Inflation continued to abate in November as energy prices declined by 2.3% and gasoline prices dropped by 6%, resulting in a 0.1% monthly advance in the CPI.
Initial jobless claims remain resilient

Initial jobless claims remain resilient

Initial jobless claims inched up slightly to 220,000 last week, remaining within the pre-pandemic level, the Labor Department reported on Thursday.
FOMC preview and the logic of Fed rate cuts in 2024

FOMC preview and the logic of Fed rate cuts in 2024

After nearly two years of raising the federal funds policy rate to restore price stability, the Federal Reserve is poised to all but declare that campaign to be over at its meeting next week.
Inflation slows again, pointing to another rate pause

Inflation slows again, pointing to another rate pause

The personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation metric, was unchanged on the month, while the core measure rose by 0.
U.S. existing home sales plunged to their lowest level since 2010

U.S. existing home sales plunged to their lowest level since 2010

In October, sales of existing homes dropped to 3.79 million, marking the lowest point since 2010, the National Realtor Association reported on Tuesday.
Consumer sentiment falls to lowest level since May

Consumer sentiment falls to lowest level since May

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index dropped unexpectedly in November to the lowest level since May as inflation concerns mounted.
U.S. October jobs report: Moderation in hiring as wage gains outpace inflation

U.S. October jobs report: Moderation in hiring as wage gains outpace inflation

The economy added 150,000 jobs in October with the unemployment rate at 3.9%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday.
FOMC decision: Extended pause as Fed waits for economy and inflation to ease further

FOMC decision: Extended pause as Fed waits for economy and inflation to ease further

The Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate in a range between 5.25% to 5.5% at its November policy meeting on Wednesday. Given the recent backup in Treasury yields.
Fed’s key wage inflation metric tops forecast

Fed’s key wage inflation metric tops forecast

The employment cost index for the third quarter showed that labor costs rose 1.1% higher than the forecast of 1.0% and were higher than the pre-pandemic average
Spending stayed robust in September as inflation steadied

Spending stayed robust in September as inflation steadied

Friday's data on spending and income, together with recent data on gross domestic product, have pointed to a booming economy that should push back any speculation for an imminent recession.
Dollar ascendant? Why the dollar’s dominance will not fade.

Dollar ascendant? Why the dollar’s dominance will not fade.

The idea that the global economy can be organized around another currency seems out of place given the dollar's ascendancy over the past 10 years during a time of uncertainty.
Resilient U.S. economy grows 4.9% in third quarter

Resilient U.S. economy grows 4.9% in third quarter

A resilient American economy continued to defy expectations by growing at a 4.9% pace in the third quarter because of one-time factors inside the consumption channel and because of sustained gains in U.S. labor dynamics and modest real income gains.
Existing home sales fall to the lowest level since 2010

Existing home sales fall to the lowest level since 2010

Demand for existing homes has plunged in six out of seven months since February, falling to 3.96 million in September.