A series of economic reports released on Thursday showed a much more resilient economy than expected heading into a crucial period when the Federal Reserve is on the verge of hiking interest rates again.
Despite the labor market's resilience and persistently low claims compared to historical norms, the steady increases in claims since late last year are ringing alarm bells.
The Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday kept its policy rate in a range between 5% and 5.25% while signaling that it will most likely hike the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at least twice before the end of the year.
Top-line U.S. inflation is moving back toward levels where it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to pause in its efforts to restore price stability.
New filings for jobless benefits fell last week to 242,000 from 264,000, a sharp 8.3% drop, in part because of the resolution of fraudulent claims in Massachusetts.
The Nonprofit SEAT Act would strengthen the relationship between the nonprofit sector and the federal government, providing nonprofits a seat at the table of federal policymaking.
The 25 basis-point increase was accompanied by changes in the Federal Open Market Committee’s statement that imply a possible pause at the Fed’s next meeting in June with a bias toward more tightening should inflation prove sticky.
Job openings fell to 9.6 million in March from almost 10 million in February, a clear sign that the labor market is softening as the economy slows down.
Growth in the first quarter expanded at a 1.1% annualized pace and by 1.6% on a year-ago basis as a modest inventory correction and a large pullback in business investment—a net drag of 2.34%—offset the robust 3.7% increase in overall household consumption.